Bitcoin rises, oil falls. Markets react to chaotic statements from Donald Trump about war with Iran

Bitcoin: Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are once again having a significant impact on financial markets. While oil prices have plummeted in recent hours, cryptocurrencies are gaining modest strength. Investors are reacting to contradictory statements from US President Donald Trump regarding the conflict with Iran, which according to some of his remarks may be heading toward an end – yet it remains shrouded in uncertainty.

Oil weakened significantly on Monday after Trump suggested that a US military operation against Iran could be drawing to a close. In a telephone interview with CBS News, he stated that the conflict is practically over.

“I think the war is basically finished. When you look at it, they basically have nothing left. From a military standpoint, there’s nothing left there,” Trump said.

According to the US military, American forces struck more than 3,000 Iranian targets during the first week of operations.

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Sharp collapse in oil prices

Trump’s remarks had an immediate impact on energy markets. The price of oil according to data from OilPrice plummeted within hours from a recent four-year high of $118 per barrel to roughly $85, representing a decline of approximately 28%.

However, the situation is complicated by the fact that the US President shortly afterward escalated his rhetoric on his Truth Social network. He warned that any Iranian attempt to disrupt oil flow through the strategic Strait of Hormuz would provoke an even stronger military response from Washington.

“If Iran does anything to stop the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz, the United States will strike twenty times harder than before,” Trump wrote.

Moreover, at a Republican fundraising event in Florida, he suggested that the conflict may not yet be definitively over. “We’ve already won in many respects, but we haven’t won enough yet,” he said.

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Cryptocurrencies respond with gains

While the oil market reacted with a decline, cryptocurrencies conversely gained modest strength. The total value of the crypto market, according to available data, rose by 3.1% over the last 24 hours.

Bitcoin again moved above the $70,000 mark at the time of writing, while Ethereum is trading just above the $2,000 level.

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Iran rejects Trump’s words

Tensions are further fueled by reactions from Tehran. According to available information, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards labeled Trump’s statements as “nonsense” and emphasized that Iran itself will primarily determine whether the war ends.

For financial markets, the key question remains whether the conflict is truly approaching an end or whether this is merely a short-term de-escalation. It is precisely this geopolitical uncertainty that has significantly influenced not only oil prices but also the development of cryptocurrencies and other risk assets in recent weeks.

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Šimon Hauser
Šimon Hauser is a Czech financial journalist, specializing in cryptocurrencies, fintech and global capital markets, among other things. With deep insight into the digital economy and investment strategies, he helps readers understand the transformation of the financial sector. His analyses regularly connect technological innovations with the real-world impact on modern investing.