Revised data from the US labor market show that the economy is cooling much faster than originally expected. A sharp decline in the number of new jobs created has caused nervousness among investors and led to a sharp fall in stock markets and bitcoin. At the same time, expectations are growing that the US central bank will cut interest rates sooner than it had recently indicated.
Major revisions to the labor market are changing investor sentiment
Since Friday, August 1, 2025, shocking revisions to US labor market data have been the main topic of discussion on the markets. According to updated figures, June’s job creation figure was revised down from the originally announced 147,000 to just 14,000.
The May figure also underwent a further downward revision of 125,000. Overall, the US economy created 258,000 fewer jobs in these two months than originally reported. Such a significant difference is rather rare in modern economic statistics and points to a much faster cooling of the labor market than investors had expected.
This data is in direct contrast to the prevailing market sentiment, according to which the US economy was still very strong.However, the sharp change in employment statistics disrupted this complacency and investors began to reevaluate their positions. Expectations quickly began to emerge on the market that the Fed might be forced to cut interest rates as early as its September meeting.
Bitcoin heads for further support
The sell-off did not spare the cryptocurrency market either. After a brief recovery, Bitcoin headed back toward its local price low of around $112,000. This level represents strong technical support, which has acted as a key price barrier in the past. If it is broken, the market would likely head toward another key support level at $107,000. This price point coincides with the highs from the turn of last year and this year, and according to volume indicators, a more robust liquidity zone begins here. Testing this zone could, from a technical perspective, bring new buyers to the market and trigger a sharp growth impulse.
Until then, however, investors remain cautious, and most of them will wait for clearer signals from macroeconomic data and, above all, for the Fed’s September decision. If rates are indeed cut, this could trigger a new round of growth in risk assets – but here too, the market remains sensitive to any new information.
