Cardano heading for new highs? Historical pattern suggests a rise to $3 in 2025

Cardano (ADA) has been one of the most prominent cryptocurrencies on the market in recent months. With a 33.5% year-on-year growth, its price still remains 75% below its all-time high of $3.09, but technical analysis suggests that it is poised for another significant move. A repeat of the historical price pattern from the last bull run could take ADA back to key levels.

The fractal pattern suggests a repeat of the massive rise

Fractals are repeating price patterns that allow traders to identify similarities between market movements in different time periods. When such a pattern is formed under similar market conditions, it often leads to similar results. The current ADA market structure in 2025 is remarkably similar to the formation that emerged in 2020. That was followed by an incredible 3,375% growth during the bull market. If the scenario repeats itself, Cardano could see a sharp appreciation in the coming months.

After peaking at $1.31 in 2018, ADA plunged more than 97% in the following bear market. A similar drop occurred after the peak in 2021, when the price fell 93%. These dramatic declines were followed by a phase of accumulation where the price fluctuated between the upper and lower limits of the trading range. Once ADA broke the upper boundary of this zone, it formed new support and a sharp rise followed. The current situation suggests that ADA is in a similar phase, which could lead to a retest of the historical high in the 140 to 180 day timeframe.

Is a break of the psychological $1 threshold imminent?

According to data from analytics platform Santiment, large-cap investors have actively participated in ADA accumulation over the past 15 months. Addresses holding more than 1 million tokens have purchased a total of 1.41 billion ADA, representing 2.35% of the total circulating supply. This trend suggests that the so-called “big fish” expect significant growth and are shifting their strategy towards long-term holdings. The growing interest from institutional investors further strengthens the theory that Cardano is about to enter a new phase of the bull market.

A bull flag is forming on shorter time frames, a technical pattern often preceding strong price gains. If ADA breaks this formation, the altcoin could strengthen by 25% in the coming weeks and approach the psychologically significant $1 level. This could be a key signal for further expansion towards previously reached highs.

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