While global financial markets have been experiencing increased volatility in recent days, Bitcoin has moved in the opposite direction – its price is rising and fluctuations are surprisingly small. According to the latest analysis by Galaxy Digital, Bitcoin’s realized volatility over the past ten days has fallen below that of major US indices, which is highly unusual in the context of its historical behavior.
Volatility declines, bitcoin strengthens
The realized volatility of bitcoin fell to 43.86, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices posted higher figures of 47.29 and 51.26. All this comes at a time when traditional markets are reacting to new US tariffs and increased geopolitical uncertainty. The Nasdaq is virtually stagnating, the dollar is weakening, and gold briefly surged but ultimately gained only 3.71%. Bitcoin, on the other hand, strengthened by 23%, cementing its position as an alternative hedge against global instability.
According to Galaxy Digital, Bitcoin’s beta against stock indices is also declining, although the 30-day correlation with the S&P 500 (0.62) and Nasdaq (0.64) remains relatively high. However, investors increasingly see it as a store of value rather than a risky asset dependent on market developments. Galaxy points out that a similar development was seen in 2018–2019 during trade tensions between the US and China.
Bitcoin as digital gold
With growing institutional interest and a stabilizing supply, bitcoin is increasingly positioning itself alongside traditional safe-haven assets such as gold. Chris Rhine of Galaxy points out that as a non-sovereign asset, Bitcoin is not subject to trust in any particular country, which strengthens its status as an independent store of value. Ian Kolman adds that supply and demand are stabilizing and Bitcoin is becoming a mature instrument for long-term capital holding.
This trend is also confirmed by Jay Jacobs of BlackRock. According to him, some countries are beginning to diversify their reserves—not only toward gold, but also toward Bitcoin. In a time of geopolitical fragmentation, investors are looking for uncorrelated assets that are not dependent on the dollar. And thanks to its independence and growing trust, Bitcoin is consolidating its position as a modern digital safe haven.
