Options Markets Send Warning. Bitcoin Could Test $60,000 Again

Bitcoin has faced strong pressure in recent days. After being rejected at the $71,000 mark, the price has gradually slid to levels around $67,500, and options markets are clearly betting on further decline. Massive bearish strategies and capital outflows from spot ETFs suggest the market remains nervous, with the $70,000 threshold still out of reach. A test of this year’s lows is back on the table.

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Options reveal extreme caution

Data from the options market, particularly from the Deribit exchange, confirm a marked prevalence of protective strategies. Put options are trading at approximately a 13% premium compared to call options. Under normal conditions, this indicator moves in the range of –6 to +6%, signaling balanced sentiment. However, current values are persistently skewed and signal clear fear of decline.

Professional traders are opting primarily for defensive tactics – such as bearish diagonal spreads, short straddles, or short risk reversals. These strategies enable profiting from price stagnation or decline, or at least reduce portfolio hedging costs. The market is thus currently pricing in a return to $60,000 more than a breakthrough past the $72,000 resistance level.

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ETFs and options expiry could decide

Another negative factor is capital flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs. Since mid-February, U.S. funds have recorded outflows in the hundreds of millions of dollars, with nearly seven billion since October. Weakening institutional demand creates additional selling pressure at a time when traditional assets such as stocks and gold are strengthening.

Short-term volatility could moreover be amplified by the approaching expiry of options worth roughly two billion dollars on Bitcoin alone. The key level is the so-called “max pain” price around $70,000, which analysts at CoinDesk are also tracking. However, as long as Bitcoin fails to break through resistance at $72,000, the technical picture remains bearish and the scenario of testing $60,000 remains realistic according to current data.

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Hynek Král
Hynek Král is an independent analyst and investor specializing in the cryptocurrency ecosystem, with a primary focus on Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). His work effectively bridges the gap between current market news, in-depth technical analysis, and practical professional trading strategies.