From euphoria to fear – that’s how the current mood on the Bitcoin market could be described. In just a few weeks, there has been a significant change in investor expectations, as clearly shown by the Fear and Greed Index. It has fallen to its lowest level since April this year, i.e., into the extreme fear zone. And it is precisely at such moments that market turning points often occur, according to an analysis by BITmarkets.
Fear as a harbinger of a turnaround?
The current decline shows that uncertainty prevails among investors and their willingness to take risks is minimal. Paradoxically, however, this may be a positive signal. In market psychology, extreme fear is often a harbinger of stabilization—when the majority has capitulated, the market tends to bottom out. Nevertheless, it would be a mistake to rely solely on sentiment; it is always necessary to monitor other technical and fundamental indicators as well.
According to analysts at BITmarkets, there have been increasing voices in recent weeks that Bitcoin could fall to $40,000, or about 70% from current highs. However, such scenarios are not new. The market has experienced sharp corrections after euphoric growth many times before. Moreover, investor sentiment can change literally overnight with a few green candles, and fear turns into greed. This is one of the reasons why Bitcoin is one of the most psychologically challenging assets.
Technically weaker, but no panic
The price of bitcoin on the weekly chart closed below the bearish flag formation and also below the support level of $107,000, which is now turning into resistance. The market therefore tends to test further stronger support around $90,000.
However, the BITmarkets analytical team points out that the decline does not yet have aggressive momentum. The corrective phase may not be long. Markets do not develop linearly; alternating rises and falls are a natural part of them. The arrival of a bearish trend is inevitable, but we never know in advance when the growth party will end. Therefore, the key is to invest in a way that can handle volatile periods and turn them into opportunities.
