Bitcoin is heading higher and the market is speculating whether it will approach the $200,000 mark this year. Technical analysis, on-chain data, and institutional inflows point to further growth.
Technical formations and ETF inflows are pushing the price up
Bitcoin has reached an all-time high of around $123,250, and the market is speculating how high the price could rise. Technical models suggest possible targets of $130,000, $150,000 and even $200,000 by the end of the year. In addition, the US House of Representatives is set to discuss stablecoin regulation, while investors have poured over $2.7 billion into Bitcoin ETFs over the past week.
The “bull flag” and “cup-and-handle” formations confirm the continuing upward trend. On-chain analyst Axel Adler Jr. points to the MVRV ratio, which historically signals profit-taking when it reaches 2.75 — currently corresponding to a price of $130,900. Other analysts, including Kyle Reidhead and Peter Brandt, also mention a target range of $130,000–$150,000.
The peak of the cycle could come in December
The Power Curve Cycle Cloud model, based on four-year cycles, predicts a peak of around $200,000 in November or December. If BTC follows a similar trajectory to previous bull markets, we could see another historic milestone within a few months. This phase of the cycle corresponds to previous peaks coming 18-20 months after the halving.
On-chain analyst apsk32 also compared the price of Bitcoin to gold and concluded that the current cycle relative to gold is only gaining momentum. According to him, this indicates that the growth potential is far from exhausted. Geopolitical uncertainty, growing interest from institutional investors, and new money from ETFs could serve as a catalyst for further expansion — even beyond the $200,000 mark.
