Bitcoin has been rising again in recent weeks, with its price approaching $120,000. This growth is not just speculation or short-term trends, but also the deteriorating state of global public finances. Analysts at investment firm Bitwise point out that the current debt crisis in the United States and other advanced economies is increasing Bitcoin’s attractiveness as an alternative store of value. According to their model, the “fair price” of BTC is as high as $230,000.
Debt is rising, confidence in currencies is falling
US public debt has exceeded $35 trillion, and interest costs alone are rising at a rate that is unsustainable for budgets in the long term. Loss of confidence in traditional currencies and fiscal policy is leading some investors to seek safe havens outside the dollar system. Bitcoin, with its limited supply and decentralized nature, is becoming digital gold for many.
Bitwise states in its report that the debt spiral, combined with inflation and geopolitical uncertainty, is creating ideal conditions for the growth of cryptocurrency assets. While central banks are considering further monetary policy interventions, Bitcoin remains independent of these decisions – and this is a key factor for many investors.
$230,000 a realistic target?
According to Bitwise, Bitcoin could approach $230,000 in the coming years if it maintains its current pace of adoption and interest from institutional investors. This estimate is based on historical cycles, the limited supply of 21 million BTC, and a comparison with the market capitalization of gold. At the same time, analysts emphasize that Bitcoin may not be just a speculative asset, but could also serve as a strategic reserve.
While some experts warn against excessive optimism, the growing demand for cryptocurrencies during economic turmoil confirms that Bitcoin is becoming an increasingly solid part of the financial world. If the global debt crisis deepens, BTC could benefit from growing interest in decentralized and inflation-resistant assets.
