{"id":66754,"date":"2026-10-19T07:42:16","date_gmt":"2026-10-19T07:42:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/?p=66754"},"modified":"2026-10-19T07:45:09","modified_gmt":"2026-10-19T07:45:09","slug":"bitcoin-lahko-v-naslednjem-ciklu-doseze-170-000-usd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sl\/bitcoin-lahko-v-naslednjem-ciklu-doseze-170-000-usd\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin lahko v naslednjem ciklu dose\u017ee 170.000 USD"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u010ce bo bitcoin ponovil vzorec, ki je veljal za vse vrhunce od leta 2017, bi lahko naslednji vrhunec cikla pri\u0161el okoli 170.000 USD pribli\u017eno konec leta 2029. Zgodovinsko najvi\u0161jo vrednost bi tako presegel le za pribli\u017eno 35 %, vendar bi to glede na dana\u0161nje cene \u0161e vedno pomenilo ve\u010d kot dvakratno rast. \u010ceprav smo trenutno v bikovskem trendu, trg ka\u017ee znake, da bo nadaljnja skokovita <a href=\"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sl\/g20-spreminja-pogled-na-kriptovalute-digitalna-sredstva-lahko-podprejo-gospodarsko-rast-so-se-strinjala-najvecja-gospodarstva\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">rast<\/a> verjetno omejena.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">Ne spreglejte: <a href=\"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sl\/top-10-kriptovalut-pod-1-dolar-kateri-poceni-zetoni-so-vredni-pozornosti\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Top 10 kriptovalut pod 1 dolarjem<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bitcoin in njegova trendna \u010drta: Zakaj pri\u010dakovati 170.000 dolarjev<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Logika prve projekcije temelji na nara\u0161\u010dajo\u010di trendni \u010drti, na kateri le\u017eijo vsi dosedanji cikli\u010dni vrhunci od decembra 2017. Med zadnjima dvema vrhuncema je minilo pribli\u017eno 1430 dni in prakti\u010dno enaka razdalja je lo\u010devala tudi vrhunce iz prej\u0161njih ciklov. \u010ce oboje podalj\u0161amo naprej, pride naslednja cenovna zgornja meja okoli 170.000 USD ravno jeseni leta 2029. Tak\u0161na pravilnost seveda ni naklju\u010dje in je neposredno povezana s halvingom, torej rednim zmanj\u0161evanjem nagrade rudarjem na polovico. Vrhunec cikla je namre\u010d vsaki\u010d pri\u0161el pribli\u017eno 17 do 18 mesecev po njem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ta model pa ima eno bistveno pomanjkljivost, ki izhaja iz zakona padajo\u010dih donosov. Po tem vzorcu vsak nov cenovni vrh ne bi smel presegati prej\u0161njega za ve\u010d kot 35 %. \u010ce bo trg upo\u0161teval to <a href=\"https:\/\/trader-magazine.com\/cs\/kryptomeny\/muze-xrp-dosahnout-100-500-nebo-1-000-dolaru-cenove-predikce-a-limity-trzni-kapitalizace\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">napoved<\/a>, bo rast bistveno \u0161ibkej\u0161a kot v prej\u0161njem ciklu, ko je prej\u0161nji maksimum predstavljal skok za pribli\u017eno 80 %. Vsaka nadaljnja podvojitev cene enostavno zahteva bistveno ve\u010d novega kapitala, zato relativni <a href=\"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sl\/obljubljeni-donos-nato-pa-resevanje-senior-je-izgubil-840-tisoc-dolarjev-v-prefinjeni-kripto-prevari\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">donosi<\/a> logi\u010dno slabijo in tr\u017ena mo\u010d ciklov postopoma pada. Da bi kriptovalutni trg sploh dosegel tako gigantski volumen, se bo morala nadaljevati masivna akumulacija s strani institucionalnih igralcev, kakr\u0161no dolgoro\u010dno prikazuje na primer programsko podjetje\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.microstrategy.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MicroStrategy<\/a><br>, ki svoje bitcoin rezerve nenehno agresivno pove\u010duje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">Ne zamudite: <a href=\"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sl\/madisonsix-pot-do-kriptovalut-brez-tehnicnih-tezav\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">MadisonSix<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bitcoin v alternativnem scenariju cilja do 220.000 USD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Druga, drznej\u0161a projekcija, predvideva cene do okoli 220.000 USD. Ta scenarij temelji na vzorcu obna\u0161anja, ko je cena po vsakem cikli\u010dnem dnu najprej ustvarila jasen nara\u0161\u010dajo\u010di kanal in \u0161ele nato iz njega posko\u010dila v dobro znano vertikalno rast. Potrditev je tradicionalno preboj nad petdesettedensko drse\u010do povpre\u010dje, do katerega je po grafih res pri\u0161lo pred kratkim. \u010ce se bo ta vzorec iz preteklih ciklov ponovil v polni mo\u010di, bi se lahko veselili precej bolj optimisti\u010dnih zneskov in vrednotenj.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ta napoved pa naleti na nekaj problemati\u010dnih to\u010dk. \u017de v prej\u0161njem ciklu dejansko ni pri\u0161lo do resni\u010dno agresivne vertikalne rasti, zaklju\u010dek takratnega bikovskega trenda pa je bil nasprotno zelo \u0161ibek. Poleg tega bi cena 220.000 USD morala odlo\u010dno prebiti svojo dolgoro\u010dno trendno \u010drto, s \u010dimer bi presegla nami\u0161ljeno zgornjo mejo, ki je doslej uspe\u0161no ustavila vsak zgodovinski cikel. Cenovne modele je torej treba obravnavati bolj kot orientacijski zemljevid, saj trendna \u010drta preprosto ni neprekr\u0161ljiv fizikalni zakon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" id=\"aioseo-ctete-take-ypredict-revolucni-platforma-pro-predikci-kryptomen\">Preberite tudi: <a href=\"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sl\/ypredict-revolucionarna-platforma-za-napovedovanje-kriptovalut\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"yPredict: Revolucionarna platforma za napovedovanje kriptovalut\">yPredict: Revolucionarna platforma za napovedovanje kriptovalut<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vir fotografije: Adobe Stock<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Viri:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>TradingView News:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">tradingview.com<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 Zgodovinsko najvi\u0161ja vrednost bitcoina z dne 6. oktobra 2025<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>CoinWarz:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinwarz.com\/mining\/bitcoin\/halving\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">coinwarz.com<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 Ocenjeni datum halvinga aprila 2028<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>StealthEX:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/search?q=https:\/\/stealthex.io\/blog\/bitcoin-price-history\/&amp;authuser=2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">stealthex.io<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 Zgodovina cen in halvingov bitcoina<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>CoinGecko:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/en\/coins\/bitcoin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">coingecko.com<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 Trenutna cena in \u0161tevilo bitcoinov v obtoku<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Analytics Insight:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.analyticsinsight.net\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">analyticsinsight.net<\/a>\u00a0\u2013 Cena bitcoina, CPI in odliv iz ETF na dan 14. 10. 2026<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div id=\"sssp-content-end\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u010ce bo bitcoin ponovil vzorec, ki je veljal za vse vrhunce od leta 2017, bi lahko naslednji vrhunec cikla pri\u0161el okoli 170.000 USD pribli\u017eno konec leta 2029. Zgodovinsko najvi\u0161jo vrednost bi tako presegel le za pribli\u017eno 35 %, vendar bi to glede na dana\u0161nje cene \u0161e vedno pomenilo ve\u010d kot dvakratno rast. \u010ceprav smo trenutno [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":66742,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"yasr_overall_rating":0,"yasr_post_is_review":"","yasr_auto_insert_disabled":"","yasr_review_type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[178],"tags":[106,95,732,225],"class_list":["post-66754","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-kriptovalute","tag-bitcoin-sl","tag-kriptovalute","tag-trg","tag-usa"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.3 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u010ce se bitcoin ponovi, bi lahko do konca 2029 dosegel 170.000 USD, kar je dvakratna rast. 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