{"id":66183,"date":"2026-10-01T07:07:02","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T07:07:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/?p=66183"},"modified":"2026-10-01T07:14:24","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T07:14:24","slug":"220-000-dolarjev-za-bitcoin-analiza-razkriva-vzorec-ki-se-ponavlja-po-vsakem-dnu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sl\/220-000-dolarjev-za-bitcoin-analiza-razkriva-vzorec-ki-se-ponavlja-po-vsakem-dnu\/","title":{"rendered":"220.000 dolarjev za bitcoin? Analiza razkriva vzorec, ki se ponavlja po vsakem dnu"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Bitcoin se po novi tehni\u010dni analizi lahko nahaja na pragu naslednjega masivnega rastnega cikla. Spremljani zgodovinski model ka\u017ee, da \u010de kriptovaluta obdr\u017ei klju\u010dno 50-tedensko drse\u010de povpre\u010dje, se ji bo odprla pot do ciljnih vrednosti okoli 220.000 dolarjev, v primeru popolnoma paraboli\u010dnega razvoja pa celo \u0161e vi\u0161je.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">Morda vas zanima: <a href=\"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sl\/eurski-stablecoini-dominirajo-trgu-zunaj-dolarja-kaj-je-za-tem-in-zakaj-se-njihov-pomen-povecuje\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Evro stablecoini dominirajo na trgu zunaj dolarja<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Klju\u010dna vloga 50-tedenskega povpre\u010dja in zgodovinski cikel<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Analiza podjetja <a href=\"https:\/\/tradingshot.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">TradingShot<\/a>, objavljena na platformi <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">TradingView<\/a>, temelji na dolgoro\u010dni cenovni strukturi, ki se je oblikovala po pomembnih tr\u017enih dogodkih v preteklih ciklih. Osrednji element tega modela je tako imenovani nara\u0161\u010dajo\u010di kanal in preseganje 50-tedenskega drse\u010dega povpre\u010dja. Takoj ko je bitcoin prebil to raven in jo uspel uporabiti kot novo podporo (support), je v preteklosti vedno sledil mo\u010dan bikovski trend. Na podlagi te analogije projekcija predvideva ceno 220.000 dolarjev do novembra 2027, pri \u010demer v ekstremnem scenariju dopu\u0161\u010da tudi preseganje meje 300.000 dolarjev.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vendar pa zgodovinskih vzorcev ni mogo\u010de uporabljati povsem mehansko, saj tudi ta model v preteklosti ni bil nezmotljiv. Izrazite motnje v strukturi so povzro\u010dili na primer hitri zlom na borzi Bitfinex leta 2015, pandemi\u010dni padec leta 2020 ali visoka volatilnost, povezana s projektom Libra. <a href=\"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sl\/institucije-bitcoin-med-padcem-niso-opustile-nekatere-pa-so-dokupovale\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Bitcoin<\/a> ostaja zelo ob\u010dutljiv na globalno likvidnost, makroekonomske pogoje in nepri\u010dakovane dogodke na trgu, zato je treba vsako dolgoro\u010dno projekcijo razumeti bolj kot verjetnostni scenarij kot pa kot zajam\u010den rezultat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" id=\"aioseo-ctete-take-coinbase-recenze-kryptomenove-burzy\">Preberite tudi: <a href=\"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sl\/coinbase-pregled-izmenjave-kriptovalut\/\" title=\"Coinbase: Recenze kryptom\u011bnov\u00e9 burzy\">Coinbase: Recenzija borze kriptovalut<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kratkoro\u010dni cilji in trenutni tr\u017eni indikatorji<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Medtem ko dolgoro\u010dna projekcija napoveduje rekordne vrednosti v nekaj letih, se v kraj\u0161em \u010dasovnem horizontu pozornost osredoto\u010da na mejo 100.000 dolarjev. Analitik Ali Martinez opozarja na preboj formacije dvojnega dna, ki mu obi\u010dajno sledi vrnitev na tako imenovano vratno \u010drto okoli 82.000 dolarjev. \u010ce bo bitcoinu uspelo obdr\u017eati to obmo\u010dje kot novo raven podpore, bo po njegovem mnenju ustvarjena trdna podlaga za hitro doseganje \u0161estmestne cene.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trenutni tehni\u010dni indikatorji podpirajo te pozitivne scenarije. Cena se varno dr\u017ei nad 50-dnevnim in 200-dnevnim enostavnim drse\u010dim povpre\u010djem, 14-dnevni RSI na ravni 61 to\u010dk pa nakazuje rastni zagon brez znakov pregrevanja. Indeks strahu in pohlepa kriptovalut (Crypto Fear &amp; Greed Index) se poleg tega giblje v obmo\u010dju izrazitega zaupanja <a href=\"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sl\/robinhood-spusca-umetno-inteligenco-za-trgovanje-kriptovalute-lahko-nakupuje-tudi-brez-posega-investitorja\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">vlagateljev<\/a> okoli 71 to\u010dk. Za nadaljnji razvoj bo torej odlo\u010dilno, ali bo bitcoin uspel obdr\u017eati ta klju\u010dna povpre\u010dja in postopoma potrditi prehod v novo fazo bikovskega <a href=\"https:\/\/trader-magazine.com\/cs\/novinky\/trump-chysta-na-cinu-dalsi-clo-zeme-podle-nej-zaplavuje-trh-levnym-zbozim\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">trga<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" id=\"aioseo-mohlo-by-se-vam-libit-bitcoin-ceka-na-fed\">Morda vas zanima: <a href=\"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sl\/bitcoin-caka-da-fed-dvigne-ceno\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Bitcoin \u010daka na Fed<\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin se po novi tehni\u010dni analizi lahko nahaja na pragu naslednjega masivnega rastnega cikla. Spremljani zgodovinski model ka\u017ee, da \u010de kriptovaluta obdr\u017ei klju\u010dno 50-tedensko drse\u010de povpre\u010dje, se ji bo odprla pot do ciljnih vrednosti okoli 220.000 dolarjev, v primeru popolnoma paraboli\u010dnega razvoja pa celo \u0161e vi\u0161je. Morda vas zanima: Evro stablecoini dominirajo na trgu zunaj [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":66171,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"yasr_overall_rating":0,"yasr_post_is_review":"","yasr_auto_insert_disabled":"","yasr_review_type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[178,15],"tags":[18,106,93,95,16],"class_list":["post-66183","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-kriptovalute","category-kryptomeny","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-sl","tag-cryptocurrencies","tag-kriptovalute","tag-kryptomeny"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Nova tehni\u010dna analiza ka\u017ee, da je Bitcoin na pragu masivnega rastnega cikla. 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