{"id":50041,"date":"2025-09-15T07:07:32","date_gmt":"2025-09-15T07:07:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/?p=50041"},"modified":"2025-09-15T07:19:45","modified_gmt":"2025-09-15T07:19:45","slug":"bitcoin-na-mesacnom-grafe-signaly-na-predaj-a-ocakavana-volatilita","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sk\/bitcoin-na-mesacnom-grafe-signaly-na-predaj-a-ocakavana-volatilita\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin na mesa\u010dnom grafe: Sign\u00e1ly na predaj a o\u010dak\u00e1van\u00e1 volatilita"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Bitcoin sa vr\u00e1til nad hranicu 115 000 libier, zatia\u013e \u010do hlavn\u00e9 akciov\u00e9 trhy dosiahli nov\u00e9 cenov\u00e9 rekordy a zlato na\u010falej rastie. Napriek tomu graf bitcoinu na vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch \u010dasov\u00fdch r\u00e1mcoch ukazuje jeden sign\u00e1l na predaj za druh\u00fdm. V kontexte o\u010dak\u00e1van\u00e9ho poklesu \u00farokov\u00fdch sadzieb preto varujem investorov, aby sa nenechali \u013eahko oklama\u0165 \u2013 uvo\u013enenie menovej politiky m\u00f4\u017ee prinies\u0165 presn\u00fd opak toho, \u010do trh automaticky o\u010dak\u00e1va.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00darokov\u00e9 sadzby a infl\u00e1cia ako k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00fd faktor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ak by <a href=\"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sk\/euforia-na-akciovom-trhu-investori-tvrdia-ze-fed-urobil-dobre-rozhodnutie\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Fed<\/a> podnikol v\u00fdznamn\u00fd krok, ako je \u201ejumbo cut\u201c o 50 b\u00e1zick\u00fdch bodov (z 5,5 % na 5 % ako minul\u00fd rok), mohlo by to by\u0165 pre trhy ve\u013emi zl\u00e9 znamenie. E\u0161te drastickej\u0161ie zn\u00ed\u017eenie sadzieb by situ\u00e1ciu e\u0161te viac zhor\u0161ilo. Bohu\u017eia\u013e, probl\u00e9m infl\u00e1cie nie je vyrie\u0161en\u00fd, ako ukazuje najnov\u0161ia spr\u00e1va. Celkov\u00e1 infl\u00e1cia v<a href=\"https:\/\/www.state.gov\/\"> Spojen\u00fdch \u0161t\u00e1toch<\/a> (CPI) medziro\u010dne vzr\u00e1stla na 2,9 %, jadrov\u00e1 infl\u00e1cia na 3,1 % a anualizovan\u00e1 trojmesa\u010dn\u00e1 jadrov\u00e1 infl\u00e1cia a\u017e na 3,7 %. <strong>Ceny b\u00fdvania, potrav\u00edn a dopravy zost\u00e1vaj\u00fa najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00edmi hnac\u00edmi silami infl\u00e1cie.<\/strong> T\u00e1to spr\u00e1va je poslednou pred septembrov\u00fdm zasadnut\u00edm Fedu, kde napriek rast\u00facej infl\u00e1cii zost\u00e1va pravdepodobn\u00e9, \u017ee sadzby p\u00f4jdu nadol.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fed sa zameriava hlavne na v\u00fdvoj na trhu pr\u00e1ce, ktor\u00fd sa uk\u00e1zal ako k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00fd pre menov\u00fa politiku. Hoci infl\u00e1cia na\u010falej rastie, zamestnanos\u0165 a makroekonomick\u00e9 podmienky na trhu pr\u00e1ce sa zdaj\u00fa by\u0165 pre centr\u00e1lnu banku prioritou.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trh bez dynamiky a technick\u00fdch sign\u00e1lov<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rast bitcoinu \u010doraz viac pripom\u00edna unaven\u00e9ho horolezca \u2013 st\u00fapa, ale s \u010doraz v\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00edm \u00fasil\u00edm. Ch\u00fdba mu dynamika, na \u010do poukazujem u\u017e najmenej od za\u010diatku leta. Objem obchodovania je absurdne n\u00edzky a situ\u00e1cia pripom\u00edna druh\u00fa polovicu roka 2021. Na mesa\u010dnom RSI<a href=\"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sk\/bitcoin-whale-nakupuje-za-38-miliardy-dolarov-rotacia-na-trhu-ethereum\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\"> trh<\/a> nie je schopn\u00fd udr\u017ea\u0165 extr\u00e9mne hodnoty nad 70 bodmi a objavuje sa ve\u013ek\u00e1 medvedia divergencia. To m\u00f4\u017ee znamena\u0165, \u017ee s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00fd cyklus bude pokojnej\u0161\u00ed ako predch\u00e1dzaj\u00face \u2013 bez parabolick\u00e9ho rastu a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9ho dramatick\u00e9ho poklesu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u010eal\u0161ia medvedia divergencia je evidentn\u00e1 na histograme MACD. Technick\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly na mesa\u010dnom grafe s\u00fa zradn\u00e9 a trv\u00e1 t\u00fd\u017edne, k\u00fdm sa prejavia, ale ich v\u00fdznam nemo\u017eno prehliadnu\u0165. Preto o\u010dak\u00e1vam, \u017ee v priebehu nieko\u013ek\u00fdch mesiacov d\u00f4jde k expl\u00f3zii volatility a n\u00e1vratu k \u201enorm\u00e1lu\u201c nielen v pr\u00edpade bitcoinu, ale aj akciov\u00fdch trhov. Rozumn\u00fd<a href=\"https:\/\/trader-magazine.com\/cs\/ekonomika\/dolar-vyrazne-oslabuje-investori-se-priklaneji-k-rizikovejsim-aktivum\/\"> investor<\/a> mus\u00ed svoje rozhodnutia zaklada\u0165 na racion\u00e1lnych argumentoch a z\u00e1rove\u0148 bra\u0165 do \u00favahy, \u017ee trhy sa \u010dasto spr\u00e1vaj\u00fa iracion\u00e1lne.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin sa vr\u00e1til nad hranicu 115 000 libier, zatia\u013e \u010do hlavn\u00e9 akciov\u00e9 trhy dosiahli nov\u00e9 cenov\u00e9 rekordy a zlato na\u010falej rastie. Napriek tomu graf bitcoinu na vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch \u010dasov\u00fdch r\u00e1mcoch ukazuje jeden sign\u00e1l na predaj za druh\u00fdm. V kontexte o\u010dak\u00e1van\u00e9ho poklesu \u00farokov\u00fdch sadzieb preto varujem investorov, aby sa nenechali \u013eahko oklama\u0165 \u2013 uvo\u013enenie menovej politiky m\u00f4\u017ee [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":50031,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"yasr_overall_rating":0,"yasr_post_is_review":"","yasr_auto_insert_disabled":"","yasr_review_type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[168],"tags":[97,89,240],"class_list":["post-50041","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-kryptomeny-sk","tag-bitcoin-sk","tag-kryptomeny-sk","tag-usa-4"],"aioseo_notices":[],"yasr_visitor_votes":{"stars_attributes":{"read_only":false,"span_bottom":false},"number_of_votes":0,"sum_votes":0},"aioseo_meta":{"seo_title":"Bitcoin na mesa\u010dnom grafe: Sign\u00e1ly. #separator_sa #site_title","meta_description":"Bitcoin sa vr\u00e1til nad hranicu 115 000 libier, zatia\u013e \u010do hlavn\u00e9 akciov\u00e9 trhy dosiahli nov\u00e9 cenov\u00e9 rekordy a zlato na\u010falej rastie. Napriek tomu graf bitcoinu...","focus_keyword":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50041","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50041"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50041\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":50042,"href":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50041\/revisions\/50042"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50031"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50041"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50041"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50041"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}