{"id":54733,"date":"2026-01-07T08:16:52","date_gmt":"2026-01-07T08:16:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/?p=54733"},"modified":"2026-01-07T08:25:17","modified_gmt":"2026-01-07T08:25:17","slug":"bitcoin-a-halving-utani-masodik-evben-a-ciklus-legnagyobb-probatetele-meg-elottunk-all","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/hu\/bitcoin-a-halving-utani-masodik-evben-a-ciklus-legnagyobb-probatetele-meg-elottunk-all\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin a halving ut\u00e1ni m\u00e1sodik \u00e9vben: a ciklus legnagyobb pr\u00f3bat\u00e9tele m\u00e9g el\u0151tt\u00fcnk \u00e1ll"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A bitcoin az elm\u00falt keresked\u00e9si napokban kiss\u00e9 er\u0151s\u00f6d\u00f6tt, \u00e9s a piaci hangulat azonnal javult. A BITmarkets kriptot\u0151zsde azonban arra figyelmeztet, hogy a medvepiaci trendben az ilyen \u201er\u00f6vid fellend\u00fcl\u00e9sek\u201d gyakoriak, \u00e9s gyakran csak a fordulat l\u00e1tszat\u00e1t keltik, mik\u00f6zben alapvet\u0151en semmi l\u00e9nyeges nem v\u00e1ltozott. Ugyanakkor a bitcoin a halving ut\u00e1ni m\u00e1sodik \u00e9vbe l\u00e9p, amely t\u00f6rt\u00e9nelmileg mindig a teljes ciklus legkock\u00e1zatosabb \u00e9s legf\u00e1jdalmasabb r\u00e9sze volt.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mi\u00e9rt a halving ut\u00e1ni m\u00e1sodik \u00e9v a t\u00f6rt\u00e9nelmileg legrosszabb<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A m\u00faltban a <a href=\"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/hu\/a-bitcoin-iden-profitalhat-a-monetaris-politika-lazitasabol-a-piac-azonban-ovatos-marad\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">bitcoin<\/a> \u00e9ppen ebben a ciklusf\u00e1zisban szenvedte el a legnagyobb \u00e1rvesztes\u00e9geket, a 70% feletti zuhan\u00e1sok nem kiv\u00e9telek voltak, hanem szab\u00e1lyok. Ez nem a piac kudarca, hanem egy term\u00e9szetes ritmus, amelyben az akkumul\u00e1ci\u00f3, a n\u00f6veked\u00e9s, a cs\u00facs el\u00e9r\u00e9se \u00e9s az azt k\u00f6vet\u0151 zuhan\u00e1s v\u00e1ltakozik. Az ilyen ciklusok nem egyed\u00fcl\u00e1ll\u00f3ak a bitcoin eset\u00e9ben, ugyanaz a pszichol\u00f3gia ism\u00e9tl\u0151dik a p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi piacokon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ha a ciklus m\u0171k\u00f6dik, akkor azt a saj\u00e1t javunkra is kihaszn\u00e1lhatjuk. A depresszi\u00f3 \u00e9s a kapitul\u00e1ci\u00f3 f\u00e1zisa gyakran az \u00e9vek legnagyobb lehet\u0151s\u00e9ge, mert \u00e9ppen akkor \u00e9r v\u00e9get a medve trend, \u00e9s <a href=\"https:\/\/crypto-globe.com\/hu\/a-bitcoin-emelkedik-de-a-piac-nem-hisz-a-92-000-dollar-feletti-attoresben\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">a piac<\/a> \u00faj n\u00f6veked\u00e9sre k\u00e9sz\u00fcl. Ugyanakkor nem z\u00e1rhat\u00f3 ki, hogy ez\u00fattal egy\u00e1ltal\u00e1n nem lesz ilyen m\u00e9ly zuhan\u00e1s, mivel a jelenlegi ciklus kev\u00e9sb\u00e9 olvashat\u00f3, mint az el\u0151z\u0151ek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A piac hom\u00e1lyos: hi\u00e1nyzott az euf\u00f3ria, hi\u00e1nyozhat a kapitul\u00e1ci\u00f3 is<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az utols\u00f3 ciklus nem hozta meg a cs\u00facs el\u0151tti tipikus m\u00e1ni\u00e1s f\u00e1zist, a hirtelen euf\u00f3rikus n\u00f6veked\u00e9st, amely a m\u00faltban gyakran el\u0151zte meg a kem\u00e9ny zuhan\u00e1st. \u00c9s ha hi\u00e1nyzott az euf\u00f3ria, lehets\u00e9ges, hogy ez\u00fattal nem lesz klasszikus depresszi\u00f3 sem, amely a bitcoinra jellemz\u0151 volt a medve trendek v\u00e9g\u00e9n. A piac \u00edgy olyan lehet, mint egy k\u00f6d\u00f6s sz\u00e9lv\u00e9d\u0151vel val\u00f3 vezet\u00e9s: a mozg\u00e1s folytat\u00f3dik, de a l\u00e1that\u00f3s\u00e1g jelent\u0151sen romlik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ugyanakkor az elm\u00falt \u00e9vek makrogazdas\u00e1gi szempontb\u00f3l is kiv\u00e9telesek voltak: az extr\u00e9m laza monet\u00e1ris politika felv\u00e1ltotta a Fed kem\u00e9ny korl\u00e1toz\u00e1sait, r\u00e1ad\u00e1sul \u00faj befektet\u0151k l\u00e9ptek be a piacra a spot bitcoin <a href=\"https:\/\/trader-magazine.com\/hu\/hirek\/az-amerikai-bitcoin-spot-etf-ek-sikeres-evet-zartak-segitve-a-bitcoin-novekedeset\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">ETF<\/a>-en kereszt\u00fcl. A ciklus elve val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171leg nem sz\u0171nt meg, de dinamik\u00e1ja megv\u00e1ltozott. \u00c9ppen ez\u00e9rt vesz\u00e9lyes azt hinni, hogy \u201eez\u00fattal minden m\u00e1s\u201d, \u00e9s ugyanakkor el kell ismerni, hogy az egyes f\u00e1zisok m\u00e1sk\u00e9pp n\u00e9zhetnek ki, mint kor\u00e1bban.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A bitcoin az elm\u00falt keresked\u00e9si napokban kiss\u00e9 er\u0151s\u00f6d\u00f6tt, \u00e9s a piaci hangulat azonnal javult. A BITmarkets kriptot\u0151zsde azonban arra figyelmeztet, hogy a medvepiaci trendben az ilyen \u201er\u00f6vid fellend\u00fcl\u00e9sek\u201d gyakoriak, \u00e9s gyakran csak a fordulat l\u00e1tszat\u00e1t keltik, mik\u00f6zben alapvet\u0151en semmi l\u00e9nyeges nem v\u00e1ltozott. Ugyanakkor a bitcoin a halving ut\u00e1ni m\u00e1sodik \u00e9vbe l\u00e9p, amely t\u00f6rt\u00e9nelmileg mindig a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":54724,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"yasr_overall_rating":0,"yasr_post_is_review":"","yasr_auto_insert_disabled":"","yasr_review_type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[170],"tags":[101,121,87],"class_list":["post-54733","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-kriptovalutak","tag-bitcoin-hu","tag-crypto-hu","tag-kriptovalutak"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A bitcoin az elm\u00falt keresked\u00e9si napokban kiss\u00e9 er\u0151s\u00f6d\u00f6tt, \u00e9s a piaci hangulat azonnal javult. 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